Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 282 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been low. New Region 1314 (N26E72)
was numbered today and produced a C1 flare at 09/1327Z. Region 1309
(N23W24) decayed slightly and is now considered an Hsx-alpha type
group. All other regions on the disk remained relatively stable and
quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low for the next three days (10-12 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled with an isolated active
period from 09/0300-0600Z due to solar sector boundary changes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods on day one (10 October) due to effects from a coronal
hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Mostly quiet conditions are
expected on days two and three (11-12 October) as effects from the
CH HSS subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Oct 121 Previsto 10 Oct-12 Oct 120/120/115 Media de 90 Días 09 Oct 114
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Oct 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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