Viendo archivo del domingo, 3 abril 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 093 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Apr 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1183 (N17W25) produced a C1 event at 03/0519Z. A CME was associated with a B8/Sf event from Region 1173 (S18W86) at 02/2347Z. At 03/0024Z, Goes-15 SXI imagery detected material movement from the SW limb that was later observed in STEREO-B COR2 imagery at 03/0109Z and STEREO-A COR2 imagery at 03/0409Z. Using this imagery, a preliminary plane-of-sky speed estimate of 322 km/s was assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity (isolated M-class) from Region 1183 during the period (04 - 06 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels in response to a coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04 - 06 April). The CME mentioned above is not expected to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Apr a 06 Apr
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Apr 114
  Previsto   04 Apr-06 Apr  110/105/105
  Media de 90 Días        03 Apr 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Apr  013/020
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Apr  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Apr a 06 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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