Viendo archivo del sábado, 25 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 25 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1109 (N22E27) was
classified as an Ehi group with a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration
and produced a few B-class flares during the period. No new regions
were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. However, there is a slight chance for an M-class flare
from Region 1109.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels as a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream continued.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet during days one and two (26-27 September).
Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on day three (28 September)
as a weak, recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream becomes
geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Sep 083 Previsto 26 Sep-28 Sep 083/083/082 Media de 90 Días 25 Sep 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 009/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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