Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 junio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 30 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 181 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jun 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low during the last 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low throughout the forecast period (01-03 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active with an isolated
minor storm at high latitudes observed from 00-03Z. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with isolated active periods for day
1 (01 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
Quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active periods are expected
for days 2 and 3 (02-03 July) as the effects from the coronal hole
high speed stream subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jun 074 Previsto 01 Jul-03 Jul 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 30 Jun 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 012/015-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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