Viendo archivo del miércoles, 7 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 07 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 097 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Regions 1060
(N24E14) and 1061 (N13W39) remain stable and show slight decay. No
flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm
conditions, with periods of major storming at some high latitude
stations. This activity is a continuation of the CME-driven
conditions from 05 April. The ACE spacecraft currently indicates
the presence of a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
wind speed is averaging 625 km/s with sustained periods of southward
IMF Bz. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached very high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active periods for day one
(08 April) due to coronal hole effects. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected for day two (09 April). Predominately quiet
conditions are expected for day three (10 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Apr a 10 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Apr 076 Previsto 08 Apr-10 Apr 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 07 Apr 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 022/046 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 015/028 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr 012/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Apr a 10 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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