Viendo archivo del domingo, 14 marzo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Mar 14 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 073 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Mar 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1054 (N14E01) produced two C-class flares. The C-class
event at 13/2349Z was a long duration C1.5 SF flare associated with
a partial halo CME and a sympathetic disappearing filament. Region
1054 has shown little growth and still magnetically classified as a
Beta-Gamma. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (15-17 March).
C-flares are likely from Region 1054.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels for the past 24
hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days
(15-16 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream and
a solar sector boundary crossing. Geomagnetic activity is expected
to decrease to quiet levels on day three (17 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Mar a 17 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Mar 089 Previsto 15 Mar-17 Mar 089/090/091 Media de 90 Días 14 Mar 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Mar 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 007/007-007/007-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Mar a 17 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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