Viendo archivo del miércoles, 20 enero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jan 20 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 020 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Jan 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1041 (S25E77)
produced four M-class flares during the past 24 hours, as well as
numerous C-class flares. The largest of these was an M3.4/Sf at
20/1755Z. Region 1041 was classified as a Cso-beta group with six
spots, as it rotated on to the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Occasional M-class flares are likely. Frequent C-class
flares are expected.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active, with isolated minor storm
conditions at high latitudes. Solar wind observations from the ACE
spacecraft indicated the onset of a co-rotating interaction region
around 20/0900Z. Solar wind velocity increased from 300 km/s to a
max of 525 km/s at 20/1834 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field
(IMF) activity showed an enhancement of total field of 19 nT, and
the southern component of the IMF ranged between +15 nT and -17 nT.
Density reached 48 p/cc at 20/1546Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (21-23 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Jan a 23 Jan
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Jan 082 Previsto 21 Jan-23 Jan 083/084/085 Media de 90 Días 20 Jan 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Jan 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Jan 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Jan-23 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Jan a 23 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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