Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 julio 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Jul 22 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 203 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jul 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the last 24 hours. The visible solar disk is spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to major storm conditions.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft observed a gradual increase in
the solar wind velocity starting around 22/0000Z. This was followed
by an increase in density, variations in the IMF Bz (-17/+14 nT),
and enhanced Bt (peaks to 17 nT) between 22/0000Z and 22/0800Z.
Current solar wind speeds are averaging around 470 km/s indicating
the influence of the anticipated coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a slight chance for isolated
active levels, for the next two days (23-24 July). Mostly quiet
conditions are expected for day three (25 July) as the coronal hole
high speed stream begins to wane.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jul 068 Previsto 23 Jul-25 Jul 068/068/069 Media de 90 Días 22 Jul 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 020/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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