Viendo archivo del lunes, 18 agosto 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Aug 18 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 231 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Aug 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed in
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was initially quiet to unsettled until about
0600Z when conditions became disturbed due to the onset of a high
speed stream from a coronal hole. Activity levels were at active to
minor storm levels for the remainder of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active on day one (19 August),
due to the persistent effects from the high speed stream. Quiet to
unsettled levels are expected on day two (20 August), and quiet
levels on day three (21 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Aug a 21 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Aug 066 Previsto 19 Aug-21 Aug 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 18 Aug 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Aug 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Aug 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Aug-21 Aug 012/015-007/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Aug a 21 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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