Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 mayo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 12 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 May 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was very low. There have been several
low-level flares observed during the period. The most probable
source is an active region located just behind the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class event from
the new active region making its way onto the solar disk from behind
the east limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions on day one (13 May)
of the period due to the influence of a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream. Predominately quiet levels are expected to return for
days two and three (14-15 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 May a 15 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 May 068 Previsto 13 May-15 May 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 12 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 May 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 May 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 May-15 May 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 May a 15 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 11% | 01% |
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