Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 mayo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 03 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 124 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of 580 km/s at
03/2022Z and Bz ranged between +/- 7. ACE signatures indicated that
Earth had entered a coronal hole high speed stream at approximately
03/1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a slight
chance for isolated active levels at middle latitudes and minor
storm conditions at high latitudes due to a high speed stream
throughout the forecast period (04 - 06 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 May 067 Previsto 04 May-06 May 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 03 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 May 007/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 May 008/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 008/012-005/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 05% |
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