Viendo archivo del viernes, 19 octubre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Oct 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 292 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Oct 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly unsettled during the past 24
hours. There was a period of active to minor storm levels from
15-18Z. Real-time solar wind data from ACE show the continuing
influence of a recurrent high speed stream throughout the day.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active with a chance for minor
storm periods for the next 24 hours (20 October). A decrease to
quiet to unsettled levels is expected for the second day (21
October) and mostly quiet levels should prevail for the third day
(22 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Oct a 22 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Oct 067 Previsto 20 Oct-22 Oct 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 19 Oct 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Oct 011/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Oct 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Oct-22 Oct 012/015-007/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Oct a 22 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
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