Viendo archivo del martes, 28 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 28 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 969 (S05W19)
is now a beta spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. A transient
disruption in the solar wind occurred at approximately 0930 UTC.
This resulted in one period of minor storming at mid-latitudes and
one period of major storming at high-latitudes. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for 29 August. There is a chance
for isolated active periods due to the continued influence of a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. The geomagnetic field is
expected to abate to quiet for 30 - 31 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Aug 070 Previsto 29 Aug-31 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 28 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 006/008-004/005-002/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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