Viendo archivo del viernes, 1 junio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jun 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 152 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jun 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels. New
Region 960 (S06E73) was responsible for two M-class flares during
the past 24 hours. An M1 x-ray flare occurred at 01/0651Z and an
M2/Sf event occurred at 01/1459Z. A Tenflare of 100 sfu was
associated with the M2 event. This region remains too close to the
east solar limb to ascertain a complete magnetic analysis. Region
958 (S13E22) developed several sunspots during the period and is now
classified a Bxo beta magnetic sunspot group. Region 959 (S12E49)
contains two small umbra and was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
moderate levels. Region 960 is likely to produce further M-class
flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 02 June. Active
conditions are expected on 03 and 04 June due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jun 079 Previsto 02 Jun-04 Jun 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 01 Jun 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 May 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun 003/005-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 10% |
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