Viendo archivo del martes, 22 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 142 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 956
(N03W46) produced a long duration B3 flare at 22/1447Z. This event
had an associated Type II radio sweep (585km/s), and a coronal mass
ejection was observed on LASCO imagery. Region 956 is in decay and
has decreased considerably in size over the last 48 hours, however,
the region still exhibits minor magnetic complexity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from
Region 956.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on 23 May. A recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream will rotate into a geoeffective position on
24 May and produce active to minor storm periods on 24 and 25 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 May a 25 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 May 072 Previsto 23 May-25 May 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 22 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 May 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 May 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 May-25 May 008/010-010/015-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 May a 25 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 15% |
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