Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 enero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 29 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jan 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 940 (S05E35) produced a
C3/SF flare at 29/1656Z. Newly numbered Region 941 (S09E69) is
classified as an Hsx Alpha group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from
Region 940.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Major
and severe storm conditions were observed at high latitudes. A
co-rotating interaction region indicating the onset of a coronal
hole high speed stream was observed at ACE starting at approximately
1000Z. Solar wind speed increased to approximately 700 km/s as the
IMF increased to 20 nT and the Bz component varied between +/- 15
nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next three days. Isolated
minor to major storm periods are possible on 30-31 January due to
the coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jan a 01 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jan 087 Previsto 30 Jan-01 Feb 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 29 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jan 002/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 020/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb 015/020-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jan a 01 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
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