Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 septiembre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 24 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 267 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 910 (S09W32) remains the only sunspot group on the visible disk and is now magnetic classification alpha. Both the San Vito and Sagamore Hill radio sites reported a Type II radio sweep with very similar times (24/1526Z - 24/1532Z) with an averaged estimated shock speed of 660 km/s. San Vito reported plage fluctuations and surging that coincided with the Type II radio sweep. An increase in x-ray flux was observed during this period and reached the level of an A9.3 flare. No current imagery is available to aid in determining the possibility that a CME may be associated with this radio event.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 910.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was active with multiple periods of minor storming. Solar wind speed is approximately 650 km/s due to a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with occasional active periods during the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Sep 070
  Previsto   25 Sep-27 Sep  070/070/080
  Media de 90 Días        24 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep  007/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Sep  016/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep  008/008-005/008-006/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

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