Viendo archivo del martes, 4 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 04 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 185 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 898 (S07W14) produced
two C-class events during the last 24 hours. The first was a C1 at
03/2304Z and the second was a C1 at 04/2029Z. Region 898 does not
appear to be growing and has relatively little magnetic complexity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (05-07 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet from the beginning of the period
through 04/1200Z. Conditions were active from 1200-1500Z and
unsettled from 1500-2100Z. The increase in geomagnetic activity was
due to the onset of a high speed coronal hole stream. Solar wind
velocity increased slowly during the past 24 hours and the onset of
wave activity was clearly indicated in the interplanetary magnetic
field measurements.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours (05 July)
as the coronal hole effects are expected to continue. Conditions
should subside to mostly unsettled for 06 July and to quiet to
unsettled for 07 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jul a 07 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jul 088 Previsto 05 Jul-07 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 04 Jul 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jul 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jul 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 015/020-010/015-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jul a 07 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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