Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 abril 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Apr 07 1509 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 096 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Apr 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Region
865 (S11W60) produced two M-class flares today, an impulsive M1
event occurring at 06/0533Z and a second impulsive M1 event
occurring at 06/2042Z. The remainder of the observed flare activity
recorded during the period were B-class events. Region 865
underwent slight decay in sunspot area (530 millionths). This
region continues to depict a beta-gamma magnetic structure. Region
869 (S12E24) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 865 has the potential for the
production of further impulsive M-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. A
sustained period of southward Bz was followed by active conditions
between 06/0900-1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled levels on 07 and 08
April. Isolated active to minor storm conditions are expected on
09 April due to a recurrent transequatorial coronal hole high
speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Apr 099 Previsto 07 Apr-09 Apr 100/100/095 Media de 90 Días 06 Apr 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Apr 018/029 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 008/010-005/008-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
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