Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 marzo 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Mar 18 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 077 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Mar 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. There are
two simply structured spotted regions on the visible disk. New
Region 862 was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. A
recurrent coronal hole became geoeffective just after 18/0700Z. A
period of minor storm conditions were observed at the Boulder
magnetometer between 18/0900 and 1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels though 19 and 20 March.
There is a chance for isolated periods of minor storm conditions
through the geoeffective stage of the favorably positioned coronal
hole. A return to quiet to unsettled levels is expected on 21 March
as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Mar a 21 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Mar 072 Previsto 19 Mar-21 Mar 070/075/075 Media de 90 Días 18 Mar 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Mar 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Mar 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar 015/020-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Mar a 21 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
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