Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 diciembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 03 2357 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 337 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Dec 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several low level C-flares were
produced by either Region 826 (S03W10) or 830 (N14E64); the largest
of which was a C5.3 at 03/0737 UTC from Region 830. Region 826 has
decreased in area in the central part of the spot region.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for an isolated X-flare from Region 826.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active conditions were due
to the continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active. On 05 December, minor storm periods
are possible due to CME activity from 02 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Dec a 06 Dec
| Clase M | 55% | 50% | 45% |
| Clase X | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Dec 101 Previsto 04 Dec-06 Dec 100/100/095 Media de 90 Días 03 Dec 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Dec 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Dec 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec 008/012-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Dec a 06 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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