Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 14 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 318 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Nov 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 822 (S06E55) produced two M-class flares: an M2.6 flare at 0421 UTC and an M3.9 flare at 1423 UTC. A Type II radio sweep was observed in association with the M3.9 flare. Region 822 is a magnetic beta-gamma spot group and has grown over the past 24 hours. The remainder of the disk was spotless.IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
moderate levels. If the region continues to grow, there is a
possibility for major flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled, with an isolated
period of active conditions from 0000 UTC to 0300 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Nov a 17 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Nov 092 Previsto 15 Nov-17 Nov 095/100/105 Media de 90 Días 14 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Nov 012/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Nov 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov 008/010-008/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Nov a 17 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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