Viendo archivo del martes, 2 agosto 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 02 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 214 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Aug 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

Solar activity remained at moderate levels today. Region 794 (S11E47) produced the largest flare of the period, an M4/1n event that occurred at 02/1831Z. There was an associated Tenflare and a Type II Radio sweep. An associated CME on the east solar limb was first seen in LASCO C2 imagery at 02/1854Z and may have a weak geoeffective component. This region also produced multiple B and C-class flares during the period and underwent growth in both magnetic complexity and sunspot count since yesterday. Region 792 (N12E12) produced a C6/Sn at 02/2016Z, prior to this event activity was limited to minor B-class events. The delta structure in the northern portion of the spot cluster and the total sunspot area have shown decay during the period. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at moderate levels. Regions 792 and 794 have the potential of producing M-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 03 August. The CME activity from yesterday and today could lead to isolated minor storming conditions on 04 August. Quiet to unsettled conditions should return by 05 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Aug a 05 Aug
Clase M70%70%70%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón20%20%20%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 Aug 110
  Previsto   03 Aug-05 Aug  110/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        02 Aug 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 01 Aug  018/016
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 02 Aug  012/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug  005/005-015/020-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Aug a 05 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%35%15%
Tormenta Menor05%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%35%20%
Tormenta Menor05%25%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%15%01%

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