Viendo archivo del jueves, 21 julio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jul 21 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 202 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jul 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A full halo CME was
observed in LASCO imagery at approximately 21/0354 UTC. This event
was determined to be backsided. The solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Mid
and high lattitudes experienced minor storming from 0000 to 0600
UTC, with high lattitudes experiencing further minor storming from
0900 to 1200 UTC. The storm conditions are the result of a coronal
hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed has been at about 550 km/s
thoughout the day. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on 22 July as the coronal hole
high speed stream wanes. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected
on 23 and 24 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jul 073 Previsto 22 Jul-24 Jul 075/075/080 Media de 90 Días 21 Jul 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 014/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 020/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jul-24 Jul 010/015-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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