Viendo archivo del sábado, 25 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 25 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 176 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels today. A C1
x-ray flare occurred in Region 780 (S07W43) at 25/0346Z. This
region continues to decay as white light depicts a two spot AXX
alpha group. There were several disappearing filaments reported
today near the time SOHO/LASCO imagery depicts a full halo CME.
Much of CME signature is believed to be back-sided, although there
is some evidence that the filament activity contributed to the
overall CME signature leaving the potential for an Earth directed
component. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Showing weak
geoeffective consequences, the recurrent high speed coronal hole
stream has pushed the solar winds speeds to over 600 km/sec. The Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field has been
predominantly north throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated
active conditions are possible on 26 June due to the high speed
stream and again on 28 June due to the potential effects from the
front-sided component of the CME activity seen today.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jun 077 Previsto 26 Jun-28 Jun 080/080/085 Media de 90 Días 25 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 007/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 010/015-010/012-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 10% |
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