Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 23 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 174 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 780
(S08W14) underwent continued decay in sunspot area and activity was
limited to a single B-class flare. The remainder of the disk and
limb were quiescent during the period. No new regions were numbered
today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to major storm levels.
The storming conditions are believed to be due to a Co-rotating
Interaction Region, preceding the onset of a recurrent high speed
coronal hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels. Isolated major
storm conditions may be possible during the period due to the
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jun a 26 Jun
| Clase M | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Jun 078 Previsto 24 Jun-26 Jun 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 23 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Jun 030/045 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun 015/020-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jun a 26 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
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