Viendo archivo del jueves, 5 mayo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 May 05 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 125 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 May 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare of the past
24 hours was a C7/Sf at 05/2020 UTC in Region 756 (S09W65). This
region continues to decay. Region 758 (S06E37) also produced a
number of small B and C-class flares and is growing slowly and
becoming more magnetically complex.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with predominately B and C-class activity in Regions 756 and 758.
There is a chance of a small M-class flare in either of these
regions, as well.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 May a 08 May
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 May 109 Previsto 06 May-08 May 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 05 May 092
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 May 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 May-08 May 005/010-005/005-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 May a 08 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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