Viendo archivo del miércoles, 27 abril 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Apr 27 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 117 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Apr 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Region 756 (S06E42) was limited to the production of low level B-class flares during the period. Sunspot area underwent a rapid increase today with most the of growth being attributed to the southern delta structure. Further magnetic analysis indicates that there may be a delta structure just north of center in the trailing portion of the large spot. Plage fluctuations and surging have been reported throughout the period. Region 755 (S13W54) had several umbra re-emerge today and remains simply structured. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Region 756 has the capability of producing an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a slight chance that the partial halo CME observed on 25-26 April might produce isolated active conditions on 29 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Apr a 30 Apr
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Apr 095
  Previsto   28 Apr-30 Apr  100/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        27 Apr 090
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Apr  002/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Apr  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Apr-30 Apr  003/008-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Apr a 30 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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