Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 agosto 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Aug 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 238 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Aug 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels today. Region 661
(N06W86) produced the largest flare of the period, a C1 x-ray flare
that occurred at 24/2112Z. This region underwent little change
today and has begun to exit the west solar limb. Region 662
(N14W67) produced a B5 x-ray flare that had an associated Type II
radio sweep with an estimated shock speed of 800 km/s. A CME was
observed in SOHO/LASCO imagery shortly following this event which
does not appear to be Earth directed. There was some sporadic
activity seen on the southeast solar limb today that is expected to
be associated with the return of old Region 655. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels today. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Aug 100 Previsto 26 Aug-28 Aug 095/090/090 Media de 90 Días 25 Aug 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 004/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 006/008-006/008-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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