Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 23 2210 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 175 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels today. Region 635
(S12W40) produced several C-class flares today, the largest was a
C2/Sf that occurred at 23/0605Z. This region appears to have
underwent little change during the period and remains a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Region 634 (N12W59) has
continued to decay and has lost penumbral sunspot coverage in the
trailing portion of the region. The delta structure remains intact
in the dominant lead spot. There were no new regions numbered
today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 635 continues to exhibit the
potential to produce an M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through 24 June. Active
conditions are expected on 25 and 26 June due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jun a 26 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Jun 113 Previsto 24 Jun-26 Jun 110/105/100 Media de 90 Días 23 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Jun 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun 003/010-008/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jun a 26 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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