Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 084 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. Occasional C-class events
occurred, as the general level of activity increased. Region 577
(S01W14) generated a C5/Sf flare at 1426 UTC. More recently, an
impulsive C7 limb flare appeared to have its origin from N15E90.
This soon to appear region is showing a hot corona in x-rays
and is also visible in H-alpha. Two new regions were assigned:
Region 580 (S07W07) and Region 581 (S03E81).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
low. Isolated C-class flares are likely, with a slight chance of an
M-class flare. Watch the northeast limb for the imminent arrival of
a new bright region.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to mildly unsettled. The greater than
2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit attained high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled through 27 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Mar 120 Previsto 25 Mar-27 Mar 120/120/115 Media de 90 Días 24 Mar 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Mar 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 005/010-005/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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