Viendo archivo del jueves, 5 febrero 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Feb 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 036 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Feb 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been low. There have been several B
and low-level C-class x-ray flares observed during the last 24
hours. The events were associated with Regions 547 (S08W70), 549
(N14E04), and 552 (S08W20). The largest region on the visible disk
is Region 551 (S06E26). This beta group has a 21 sunspot count and
is currently over 200 millionths of white light area coverage. A
new region was numbered today as Region 553 (S05E01).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from Region
549 and 551.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Isolated periods
of active conditions are possible for 06 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Feb a 08 Feb
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Feb 106 Previsto 06 Feb-08 Feb 105/105/110 Media de 90 Días 05 Feb 120
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Feb 012/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb 010/015-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Feb a 08 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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