Viendo archivo del martes, 25 noviembre 2003

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Nov 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Nov 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Occasional low C-class activity was observed in Regions 508 (S16W06) and 510 (S22E50). Region 508 continues to slowly decay, but still maintains moderate complexity. Region 501 (N04W85), which produced several M-class flares early in its rotation across the visible disk, is making a quiet exit around the west limb. Region 507 (N09W14) maintains considerable size and complexity, but was quiet again this period. A weak delta configuration is still evident in this region. New Regions 511 (S14E24) and 512 (N06E31) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Regions 507 and 508, though relatively quiet over the past several days, still maintain potential for isolated M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods. The disturbed periods are due to a moderate high speed solar wind stream from a well positioned coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes. The most disturbed periods are expected on 26 November due to high speed coronal hole flow. Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 27 and 28 November, with occasional high latitude active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Nov a 28 Nov
Clase M40%35%30%
Clase X10%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Nov 171
  Previsto   26 Nov-28 Nov  170/160/160
  Media de 90 Días        25 Nov 133
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Nov  007/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Nov  015/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov  015/020-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Nov a 28 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%30%25%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%35%30%
Tormenta Menor20%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%01%

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