Viendo archivo del domingo, 29 junio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jun 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity remained low. Region 396 (S04W38)
produced a few C-class subflares late in the period. Region 397
(N12E53) also produced C-class activity. The region is now visible
as an elongated white light group, with a large plage field.
Magnetically the region is very confused, with a mixture of leading
and trailing polarities interspersed. The limbs were quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels. Solar
wind speeds remain elevated, now near 700 km/s. This high speed
stream is from a large coronal hole in the western solar hemisphere.
The GOES greater than 2 MeV electron flux is again high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be generally active. Periods of minor storming may occur
as the high speed stream gradually abates. Unsettled conditions are
anticipated by the end of the interval.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jun 127 Previsto 30 Jun-02 Jul 130/130/130 Media de 90 Días 29 Jun 1234
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 030/032 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 025/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul 020/025-015/020-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 60% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 15% |
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