Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 junio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 178 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jun 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity continued low. Newly numbered Region 397
(N09E72) was the main flare producer, its largest being a C3 at 0321
UTC. This region seems to be the leader of old Region 375, being
positioned just ahead of the longitude where 375 was last seen. One
other new group, Region 396 (S04W12) emerged on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
pending further development in Region 397.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to major storm levels in the
past 24 hours. Activity intensified as the solar wind would gust, at
times reaching more than 750 km/s during the period. The large E-W
oriented coronal hole is the source of this high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit were at high
levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at active to minor storm levels for the next three
days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jun 124 Previsto 28 Jun-30 Jun 130/130/135 Media de 90 Días 27 Jun 125
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 016/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 022/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun 020/020-020/030-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 25% |
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