Viendo archivo del martes, 24 junio 2003

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 175 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jun 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several minor C-class subflares occurred, mostly from Region 391 (N14W09). The largest was a C2/Sf at 24/1024Z. This region emerged quite quickly through the early part of this period, but has since stabilized. New Regions 392 (N07E69) and 393 (S15E72) were numbered today. No significant activity or changes were observed in the remaining active regions.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels. Several of the active regions on the visible disk have potential to produce occasional C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Active to minor storm levels were predominant during local nighttime hours. A high speed stream continues with solar wind speed ranging from 500 - 600 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jun a 27 Jun
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Jun 115
  Previsto   25 Jun-27 Jun  115/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        24 Jun 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jun  015/020
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  025/025
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  015/015-012/015-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jun a 27 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%35%35%
Tormenta Menor20%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

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