Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 junio 2003

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 174 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jun 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar

IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z

IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica

III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jun a 26 Jun

Clase M	25%	25%	25%
Clase X	05%	05%	05%
Protón	05%	05%	05%
PCAF	green

IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo

  Observado       23 Jun 114
  Previsto   24 Jun-26 Jun  115/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        23 Jun 126

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A

  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jun  011/016
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Jun  020/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  012/012-012/012-010/012

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jun a 26 Jun

A. Latitudes Medias
Activo	30%	30%	25%
Tormenta Menor	10%	10%	05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa	05%	05%	01%

B. Latitudes Altas
Activo	35%	35%	30%
Tormenta Menor	15%	15%	10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa	05%	05%	05%

Comments K-indicies The scaling problem with the Boulder magnetometer instrument has been fixed and the instrument has been redesignated as the primary instrument for Boulder K-indices. GOES Protons To ensure continued operational monitoring of important energetic particle data, it is necessary to reassign primary/secondary designations for the GOES Space Environment Monitor (SEM) detectors. GOES 11 (113W) is now the primary satellite for protons. GOES 12 will continue as the primary satellite for magnetometer, X-ray, and electron measurements. GOES 10 (135W) will be the secondary satellite for all SEM sensors - magnetometer, X-ray, and energetic particles. Because of the degraded state of the proton data on GOES-10, its designation as the secondary source for proton data is a short-term solution. More permanent solutions have been identified and are being evaluated. Users will be notified when we define and schedule a permanent fix. Further details can be found at http://www.sec.noaa.gov/GOES.html.

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