Viendo archivo del sábado, 7 junio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 158 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jun 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 375 (N12W04)
produced an M1/1f flare at 06/2338 UTC with an associated Type II
radio sweep. This region has grown in white light area and sunspot
count and continues to exhibit a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. A new region was numbered today as Region 380
(S16E68).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 375 and 380 both have the potential for
continued C-class and M-class flaring. There is a chance for an
isolated X-class event from Region 375.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active. The greater than
2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be primarily unsettled to active with periods of minor
storm conditions for the next three days. These conditions are
expected due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jun 133 Previsto 08 Jun-10 Jun 130/125/120 Media de 90 Días 07 Jun 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 010/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 020/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 020/025-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jun a 10 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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