Viendo archivo del miércoles, 4 junio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 155 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jun 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was low with just a couple low level
C-class flares. All of these were from Region 375 (N11E39), which is
the largest group on the disk and was the most active. The group
appeared to be developing a bit of magnetic complexity and was a
beta-gamma group as of forecast file time. New Region 377 (N04E71)
was assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mostly low. There is a fair chance, however, for an isolated
M-class flare from Region 375 sometime during the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active. There was a
minor storm period from 2100-2400 UTC on 03 June. Solar wind data
continue to show the presence of a high speed solar coronal hole
wind stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes reached high
levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field should be
predominantly active with occasional minor storm periods at high
latitudes as the current disturbance continues.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jun 106 Previsto 05 Jun-07 Jun 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 04 Jun 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 019/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 020/027 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 020/030-020/030-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
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