Viendo archivo del martes, 3 junio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Today's activity consisted of
occasional C-class subflares, mostly from Region 375 (N12E50).
Region 375 is now the largest spot group on the disk and was active,
but did not show significant growth during the past 24 hours. The
remainder of the disk and limbs were quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. There is a fair chance for an M-class flare from Region
375.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active. There was an
isolated minor storm period from 0900-1200 UTC. Solar wind data
continue to indicate the presence of a high-speed wind stream, which
is due to a favorably positioned coronal hole. The greater than 2
MeV electron fluxes reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly active at mid-latitudes and active to minor
storm at high latitudes. The high speed coronal hole stream should
continue for at least the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jun 115 Previsto 04 Jun-06 Jun 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 03 Jun 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 022/039 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 022/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 020/030-020/035-020/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
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