Viendo archivo del miércoles, 9 abril 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Apr 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. Occasional C-class events
occurred, the largest a C6 at 0933 UTC from a site just beyond the
SW limb. Region 330 (N08W02) is the most prominent of the six
spotted regions, but has been quiet all day. Newly numbered region
333 (N11W36) was born on the disk. There are indications of another
spot group just now coming into view on the SE limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to persist
at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels. This
activity is believed to be an extension of the shock/cme disturbance
that began yesterday.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at active to minor storm levels for the next 48
hours. A recurrent high-speed solar wind stream is due to affect the
magnetosphere. Unsettled to active conditions are likely to end the
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Apr 109 Previsto 10 Apr-12 Apr 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 09 Apr 133
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 017/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 022/026 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr 020/020-020/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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