Viendo archivo del lunes, 31 marzo 2003

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 090 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Occasional low C-class flares were observed from Regions 318 (S13W49) and 321 (N06W16). Region 323 (S08W29) maintained its moderate size and magnetic complexity, but was mostly stable this period. Region 319 (N13W57) underwent considerable decay over the past 24 - 36 hours. New Regions 327 (S07W12) and 328 (S03E14) were numbered today. No other significant developments were observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. There is a small chance for a low M-class flare from Region 323.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels, with occasional major storm periods at high latitudes. The high speed stream that began early on 30 March continues. An extended period of southward Bz that began at around 1100Z, has continued through the end of the period and was responsible for the most disturbed periods. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels. Disturbed periods due to high speed stream effects will continue for the next 2-3 days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 Mar 160
  Previsto   01 Apr-03 Apr  160/155/150
  Media de 90 Días        31 Mar 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar  019/026
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 31 Mar  020/030
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr  015/020-015/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%40%30%
Tormenta Menor20%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo50%50%40%
Tormenta Menor30%30%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%15%10%

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