Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 marzo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 089 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Mar 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. Weak C-class flares were
observed in Regions 321 (N05W03) and 323 (S08W15). The rapid growth
and considerable C-class activity observed yesterday in Regions 318
(S13W34) and 323 has ended. Region 323, the more impressive of the
two, evolved into a beta-gamma region with near 250 millionths of
white light areal coverage. No significant developments were
observed in the remainder of the disk or limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance for a low M-class flare from Regions 321 or
323.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with isolated minor
storm periods at high latitudes. Solar wind signatures early this
period indicate a transition from transient flow to a high speed
coronal hole stream. Solar wind speed began the period near 400
km/s, but gradually increased to near 650 km/s by end of period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with isolated minor storm
periods. A coronal hole high speed stream will buffet the
magnetosphere for most of the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Mar a 02 Apr
| Clase M | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Mar 155 Previsto 31 Mar-02 Apr 155/150/150 Media de 90 Días 30 Mar 133
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Mar 017/027 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Mar 018/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr 015/020-012/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Mar a 02 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 45% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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