Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 marzo 2003

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Mar 22 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 081 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Mar 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. There were several C-class and numerous B-class flares originating from old Region 314 (S16, L=062) which has rotated off the west limb. The largest flare from this region was a C2.3 x-ray flare that occurred at 22/0055Z. The remainder of disk was quiescent throughout the interval. Region 318 (S16E74), a four spot beta group, has begun to rotate into view from the east limb and was newly assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active conditions. The solar wind speed has shown a slow, yet steady decrease during the interval as a favorably positioned coronal hole enters into its waning stage. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit have again exceeded high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly unsettled conditions throughout the period. Active conditions and isolated minor storm periods are possible late on day three due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Mar a 25 Mar
Clase M05%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Mar 089
  Previsto   23 Mar-25 Mar  090/090/095
  Media de 90 Días        22 Mar 133
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Mar  019/029
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Mar  012/016
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar  010/012-010/012-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Mar a 25 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%30%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%35%
Tormenta Menor10%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/23X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/28M7.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32000M4.46
42022M4.0
52014M3.79
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales