Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 febrero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 055 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only one C-class event
occurred: a C1/Sf at 1136 UTC from Region 290 (N18W33). This region
continues to be the largest of the two sunspot regions currently on
the solar disk. Region 290 (N18W33) became somewhat more active
during the last few hours of the period with some impulsive B-flares
and some associated activity in a nearby filament.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels during the
past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds showed a declining trend throughout
the day. Electron fluxes reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 102 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 010/010-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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