Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 enero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jan 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 022 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jan 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 260
produced an M1.2/1f flare at 22/0444 UTC. This region has seen
steady decay in magnetic complexity and penumbral coverage during
the period. Region 269 (S09E63) has been quiescent today and
appears to be a simple magnetic beta group. Region 267 (S20E51) has
shown slow but steady growth since rotating onto disk. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Regions 267 and 269 have a slight chance of producing
low level M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly unsettled levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels. A recurrent
coronal hole is expected to become geoeffective on day one of the
forecast period. Days two and three should experience similar
conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jan 130 Previsto 23 Jan-25 Jan 125/125/120 Media de 90 Días 22 Jan 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jan 009/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan 020/020-020/025-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89Unproven theories 341Space Weather Memes 338Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/25 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 133.9 +26.6 |