Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 175 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours.
Today's only C-flare was a C1 at 1606 UTC. The optical source was
not obvious, but there were some slightly enhanced loops visible in
EIT 195 from Region 5 (N14W29). New Region 15 (S27E39) emerged and
was assigned today. A 13 degree filament near N40W06 disappeared
sometime between 0112 UTC and 1345 UTC. A CME erupted from the west
limb at 24/0054 UTC but did not have any earthward component. Region
8 (S10W01) continues to be the largest region on the disk and
appeared to be growing and developing some magnetic complexity
during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days. There is a very slight chance for moderate
activity from Region 8.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jun a 27 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jun 150 Previsto 25 Jun-27 Jun 150/150/145 Media de 90 Días 24 Jun 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jun 012/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 006/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jun a 27 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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