Viendo archivo del miércoles, 19 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.comInforme conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 170 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jun 2002
IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z
Solar activity has been low. A C5 event occurred at
19/1015 UTC. The LASCO/EIT imagery suggest the source of the event
to be Region 9991 (S22W85).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active conditions. Minor
storm conditions were observed at high latitudes. This activity is
attributed to a well positioned coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active conditions are
possible for June 20 with the coronal hole passage.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jun a 22 Jun
Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jun 146
Previsto 20 Jun-22 Jun 150/150/155
Media de 90 Días 19 Jun 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 008/011
Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jun 012/016
Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 015/018-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jun a 22 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias |
Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Latitudes Altas |
Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, region number 10000 was assigned
on June 14. Space Weather operations is going
through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998,
9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text
discussions of the active regions will ignore the
leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region
number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However,
the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as
well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will
preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using
four digits is for operational purposes only. For
historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999
will be understood to be in a series of region numbers
10000 and higher.
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