Viendo archivo del martes, 18 junio 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 169 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jun 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. Three new regions were numbered today as Region 6 (S08W23), Region 7 (N12E17) and Region 8 (S11E75).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions are possible on 21 June due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jun a 21 Jun
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Jun 143
  Previsto   19 Jun-21 Jun  145/150/150
  Media de 90 Días        18 Jun 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jun  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Jun  005/009
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun  010/012-015/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jun a 21 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%25%30%
Tormenta Menor10%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
PLAIN This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you may have noticed, region number 10000 was assigned on June 14. Space Weather operations is going through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text discussions of the active regions will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using four digits is for operational purposes only. For historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a series of region numbers 10000 and higher.

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