Viendo archivo del martes, 18 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.comInforme conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 169 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jun 2002
IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z
Solar activity has been very low. Three new regions
were numbered today as Region 6 (S08W23), Region 7 (N12E17) and
Region 8 (S11E75).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions
are possible on 21 June due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jun a 21 Jun
Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jun 143
Previsto 19 Jun-21 Jun 145/150/150
Media de 90 Días 18 Jun 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jun 005/007
Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 005/009
Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun 010/012-015/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jun a 21 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias |
Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Latitudes Altas |
Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, region number 10000 was assigned
on June 14. Space Weather operations is going
through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998,
9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text
discussions of the active regions will ignore the
leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region
number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However,
the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as
well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will
preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using
four digits is for operational purposes only. For
historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999
will be understood to be in a series of region numbers
10000 and higher.
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