Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 17 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.comInforme conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 168 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jun 2002
IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z
Solar activity has been low. Only minor C-class events
were observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions
are possible on 19-20 June due to a well positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jun a 20 Jun
Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jun 143
Previsto 18 Jun-20 Jun 145/145/150
Media de 90 Días 17 Jun 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jun 007/011
Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jun 005/009
Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun 005/008-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jun a 20 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias |
Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Latitudes Altas |
Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, we are steadily approaching
region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather
operations is to go through the sequence of Region
numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's
product text discussions of the active regions
will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we
will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region
number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the
Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS
data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format.
The necessity of using four digits is for operational
purposes only. For historical purposes all regions
beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a
series of region numbers 10000 and higher.
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